Temperature record predictions - WMO
/
2:05
/
MP4
/
152.9 MB

Edited News , Press Conferences | WMO

WMO - Press Conference: Global climate predictions for next five years - 05 June 2024

World 'too hot to handle' as new temperature records beckon, UN weather watchdog warns

At least one of the years between now and 2028 will very likely set a new temperature record - breaking through the crucial 1.5°C temperature limit – whose dangers are already being felt - the UN weather agency, WMO, said on Wednesday.

Speaking in Geneva, Ms. Barrett noted that there is a “nearly nine in 10 likelihood that at least one year between 2024 and 2028 will be the hottest on record”. When this happens, it will be “the hottest on record, even hotter than 2023, which smashed all temperature records”.
She underscored, however, that temporary breaches do not mean that the 1.5 °C goal set in the Paris Agreement is permanently lost because it refers to long-term warming over decades.

The global average near-surface temperature for each year between 2024 and 2028 is predicted to be between 1.1°C and 1.9°C higher than the 1850-1900 baseline.

There is a 47 per cent likelihood that the global temperature averaged out over the five-year 2024-2028 period will exceed 1.5°C above the pre-industrial era, according to the WMO Global Annual to Decadal Update; this is up from the 32 per cent likelihood featured in last year’s report for the 2023-2027 period.

Beyond the scientific data, the WMO senior official highlighted the impact on human health and survival first and foremost, echoing repeated calls by the UN Secretary-General for climate action:

“As our planet enters this new record-breaking era, we can expect to see more oppressive heat waves affecting the health of billions of people; more increases in marine heatwaves jeopardizing livelihoods and natural ecosystems along our coasts. More sea level rise threatening coastal populations everywhere, more intense rainfall events, pushing our infrastructure beyond its limits. The future scenarios many of us have feared are here now.”

Under the Paris Agreement, countries agreed to keep long-term global average surface temperature well below 2°C above pre-industrial levels and pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5°C by the end of this century. The scientific community has repeatedly warned that warming of more than 1.5°C risks unleashing far more severe climate change impacts and extreme weather and every fraction of a degree of warming matters.

“Beyond the predictions and statistics, is the stark reality that we risk trillions of dollars in economic losses, millions of lives upended and destruction of fragile and precious ecosystems and the biodiversity that exists there,” Ms. Barrett said. “What is clear is that the Paris Agreement target of 1.5 degrees C(elsius) is hanging on a thread.”

ends

STORY: Record temperature predictions - WMO

TRT: 2’05”

SOURCE: UNTV CH

LANGUAGE: ENGLISH / NATS

ASPECT RATIO: 16:9

DATELINE: 5 JUNE 2024 GENEVA, SWITZERLAND

SHOTLIST

1.                 Exterior medium-wide, UN Geneva flag alley.

2.                 Wide, WMO Deputy Secretary-General Ko Barrett holding up latest report.

3.                 SOUNDBITE (English) – WMO Deputy Secretary-General Ko Barrett: “In the past seven days, for example, many locations in North Africa, the Middle East, India, Pakistan and Mexico had temperatures of 45 to 50 degrees Celsius and even higher. And this is frankly too hot to handle.”

4.                 Medium-wide from elevated camera of podium speakers and journalists.

5.                 SOUNDBITE (English) – WMO Deputy Secretary-General Ko Barrett: “There is a nearly nine in 10 likelihood that at least one year between 2024 and 2028 will be the hottest on record, even hotter than 2023, which smashed all temperature records.

6.                 Wide, journalists and TV video journalists to rear.

7.                 SOUNDBITE (English) – WMO Deputy Secretary-General Ko Barrett: “As our planet enters this new record-breaking era, we can expect to see more oppressive heat waves affecting the health of billions of people; more increases in marine heatwaves jeopardizing livelihoods and natural ecosystems along our coasts. More sea level rise threatening coastal populations everywhere, more intense rainfall events, pushing our infrastructure beyond its limits. The future scenarios many of us have feared are here now.”

8.                 Medium-wide, journalists and TV video journalists with cameras.

9.                 SOUNDBITE (English) – WMO Deputy Secretary-General Ko Barrett: “Beyond the predictions and statistics, is the stark reality that we risk trillions of dollars in economic losses, millions of lives upended and destruction of fragile and precious ecosystems and the biodiversity that exists there. What is clear is that the Paris Agreement target of 1.5 degrees C(elsius) is hanging on a thread.”

10.             Medium-wide, Press room showing rows of seats, journalists and podium.

11.             Medium, journalist typing on laptop.

12.             Medium, photographer lining up shot.


Documents 1
Download Storyline
Download

Audio Files 2
Download WMO - Press Conference: Global climate predictions for next five years - 05 June 2024 (Continuity)
Download
Download Temperature record predictions - WMO (Edited Story)
Download

Similar Stories

UN Geneva Press Briefing - 23 July 2024

1

1

1

Press Conferences | WHO , ILO

UN Geneva Press Briefing - 23 July 2024 ENG FRA

Rolando Gómez, Chief of the Press and External Relations Section at the United Nations Information Service in Geneva, chaired a hybrid briefing, which was attended by the spokespersons and representatives of the World Health Organization and the International Labour Organization.

Gaza health update - WHO

1

1

1

Edited News | WHO

Gaza health update - WHO ENG FRA

Concerns continue to grow over the impact of a possible polio outbreak in Gaza, amid disastrous sanitary conditions and a lack of access to health care, UN humanitarians warned on Tuesday.

UNODA Press conference: Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) - 22 July 2024

1

1

1

Press Conferences | UNODA

UNODA Press conference: Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) - 22 July 2024 ENG FRA

Preparatory Committee for the 2026 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT): second session

FAO Press conference: Food Security and Nutrition in the World Report (SOFI) - 22 July 2024

1

1

1

Press Conferences | FAO , WFP

FAO Press conference: Food Security and Nutrition in the World Report (SOFI) - 22 July 2024 ENG FRA

Media launch of the 2024 State of Food Security and Nutrition in the World Report (SOFI)

Gaza: Polio alert and anarchy – WHO, OHCHR, UNICEF

1

1

1

Edited News | WHO , OHCHR , UNICEF

Gaza: Polio alert and anarchy – WHO, OHCHR, UNICEF ENG FRA

Poliovirus detected in Gaza sewage puts thousands at risk amid increasing ‘anarchy’ In Gaza, tests conducted by the Global Polio Laboratory Network have confirmed the presence of poliovirus in six sewage samples collected on 23 June from Khan Younis and Deir al Balah.

UN Geneva Press Briefing - 19 July 2024

1

1

1

Press Conferences | UNHCR , OHCHR , UNICEF , WHO

UN Geneva Press Briefing - 19 July 2024 ENG FRA

Alessandra Vellucci, Director of the United Nations Information Service in Geneva, chaired a hybrid briefing, which was attended by spokespersons and representatives of the World Health Organization, the United Nations Human Rights, the United Nations Refugee Agency, and the United Nations Children’s Fund.

Gaza: Renewed deadly Israeli airstrikes - OHCHR

1

1

1

Edited News | OHCHR

Gaza: Renewed deadly Israeli airstrikes - OHCHR ENG FRA

Renewed wave of deadly Israeli strikes on Gaza must stop – UN Human Rights Office

Report on DPRK forced labour - OHCHR

1

1

1

Edited News | OHCHR

Report on DPRK forced labour - OHCHR ENG FRA

Institutionalised forced labour by the Democratic People's Republic of Korea constitutes grave violations of human rights – UN report

UN Geneva Press Briefing - 16 July 2024

1

1

1

Press Conferences | WHO , OHCHR , UNAIDS , UNECE

UN Geneva Press Briefing - 16 July 2024 ENG

Sudan health update - WHO

1

1

1

Edited News | WHO

Sudan health update - WHO ENG FRA

Time is running out for starving civilians in Sudan, UN humanitarians warned on Tuesday, while talks involving the country’s warring parties continue in Geneva this week.

UN Geneva Press Briefing - 12 July 2024

1

1

1

Press Conferences | WHO , WMO , ILO

UN Geneva Press Briefing - 12 July 2024 ENG FRA

Alessandra Vellucci, Director of the United Nations Information Service (UNIS) in Geneva, chaired the hybrid briefing, which was attended by spokespersons and representatives from the World Health Organization, the World Meteorological Organization, and the International Labour Organization.

Health situation in DRC - WHO

1

1

1

Edited News | WHO

Health situation in DRC - WHO ENG FRA

DRC faces a severe humanitarian crisis with 25M in need and rising conflict-related issues.