UNCTAD - Press conference: Launch of the World Investment Report 07 JUL 2026
/
31:31
/
MP4
/
2 GB
Transcripts
Teleprompter
Download

Press Conferences | UNCTAD

UNCTAD - Press conference: Launch of the World Investment Report 07 JUL 2026

Publication of the World Investment Report 2026

 

Speakers:  

  • Pedro Manuel Moreno – UNCTAD Acting Secretary General
  • Nan Li Collins – UNCTAD Director for Investment and Enterprise
Teleprompter
Good morning, everybody and good afternoon for those connecting from other time zones.
And thank you for for joining us for the launch of the World Investment Report 2026.
[Other language spoken]
The report and related press materials are still on the embargo for the coming hour.
We know everybody respects those rules.
Everything is available in the UMTAD newsroom for those registered.
For those not registered, we encourage you to join us.
We will begin with opening remarks by Umtad's Acting Secretary General, Pedro Manuel Moreno, to my left, to your right for those in the room and on screen.
We will then hear from Nan Lee Collins.
She's the Director of Unter's Division on Investment and Enterprise, who will present the main findings of the report.
After that, we will open the floor for questions.
We have two colleagues from the division with us to my right as the Sousodorva and on the far end of the table, Massimo Meloni to add details when and if needed.
Thank you very much.
The floor is yours.
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
Good morning, dear colleagues, friends from the press.
It's a pleasure to be with you today.
Launching 1 of Hunta's flagship reports.
The World Investment Report 2026 shows that global foreign direct investment is raising again.
In 2025, global FDI increased by 6% to $1.6 trillion after two years of decline.
That recovery is welcome, but it is not yet a broad based development story.
Inflows to developed economies rose by 11%, while developing economies recorded growth of only 2%.
Investment is also becoming more concentrated across countries, sectors and large projects.
And this matters because investment is is not only financial flow, it is a development tool when it builds productive capacity, creates jobs, strengthens skills, supports technology transfer and connects firms to markets.
The central question then is, is not how much investment crosses borders.
The question is where it where it goes, what it builds and who it benefits.
A higher FDI number is welcome, but it doesn't automatically mean stronger development impacts.
Headline investment can be concentrated in a few economies, sectors or large projects.
But what matters here for development is whether investment strengthens the real economy.
That means new productive assets, stronger domestic firms, better jobs, supplier linkages, technology transfer and access to regional and global value chains.
Investments, yes is becoming more strategic, more selective and also more concentrated.
A growing share of global investments is moving into sectors linked to future growth and technological competition, and these include AI infrastructure, semiconductors, critical minerals, energy transition technologies.
Strategic sectors accounted for 44% of global Greenfield projects values in 2025, up to up from 16% in 2020.
These sectors can create new opportunities, we all know that, but they often require reliable infrastructure, energy, skills, capital, suppliers and of course, policy support.
Many developing countries are still building those capacities.
That means the risk of being left behind in this in this case is is real developing.
Developing countries do not need to compete everywhere.
They need realistic entry points into the investment landscape of the future.
The report does not suggest that developing economies should try to match the largest economies subsidy for subsidy like a competition raise on that.
For many countries, that would be unrealistic and fiscally risky.
The priority here is to identify where they can compete and where investments can support development.
That may include selected manufacturing activities, critical minerals, processing, energy services, logistics, data infrastructure, supplier networks, or skills intensive niche.
To make those opportunities viable, countries need stronger infrastructure, reliable energy, workforce, skills, investment facilitation, supplier development, and, of course, regional markets.
National policy choices matter, but international cooperation is also essential governments are becoming more active in shaping investment flows in 2025, countries adopted a record 229 investment policy measures most remains favourable to investors, but the increasingly targeted strategic sectors and national priorities.
This is not simply about attracting more investment, it is about attracting investment that supports development resilience and and domestic value creation for developing countries.
International cooperation, investment partnerships and risk sharing mechanisms can help create conditions that individual countries cannot build alone.
Umtat's role is to help countries understand these changes and turn investment trends into development choices.
UMTAT brings together data analysis, policy guidance and intergovernmental dialogue, and the whole Investment Report helps countries precisely see where investment is going, which sectors are growing, where risks are emerging and what policy options are available to them.
Our focus is not investments for its own sake.
Our focus is investment that supports productive capacity, technology transfer, jobs, skills and value creation.
The report message is clear.
FDI is recovering, but this its development impacts will depend on the choices countries and partner make.
Now, I will leave it here for the moment.
Thank you, thank, thank you, Thank you very much Assistant acting.
Sorry, thank you very much Acting Secretary General Pedro Manuel Moreno.
I will now turn to Nan Lee Collins Ungtas, Director of the vision of Investment and Enterprise.
She was walks walk us through the main findings of the World Investment Report 2026.
Nan, over to you.
[Other language spoken]
The acting Secret General has framed the broader development message.
Let me turn to what evidence in this year's World Investment Report shows.
As the headline shows, global FDI rose by 6% to 1.6 trillion in 2025.
But recovery is uneven and its development impact is not automatic.
The central question is not only how much investment is moving, but where it goes, what it builds and who benefits.
4 findings stand out.
First, investment in strategic sectors is booming.
Investment is growing rapidly in sectors at the centre of global strategic competition, including AI, infrastructure, semiconductor, critical minerals, energy, transition technology and other advanced technologies.
The numbers are striking.
Since 2020, the value of announced Greenfield projects in these sectors have increased more than 5 foot from 109 billion to 576 billion, bringing them to almost half of global Greenfield project value.
As Mr Moreno noted, this reflects several powerful investment waves, data centres and cloud infrastructure for AI, semiconductors for digital infra and advanced manufacturing, and critical mineral and energy transition technologies for the green and digital transitions.
Second, the new investment race is also a concentration race in strategic sectors.
The top three investors economy account for almost 70% of global Greenfield investment, and the top three destinations capture about half.
These concentration levels are roughly twice as high as those observed in other industries.
By contrast, low and lower middle income economies receive only about 10% of the investment in strategic sectors, less than half of their shares in other industries.
This is a central risk.
The industries that may drive the next wave of growth are expanding fast, but access to them is narrowing.
The new investment rates is concentrated among a small number of economies with strong existing capabilities.
This does not mean that developing countries have no opportunities.
Entry points exist through natural resources, green industrial value chains, digital markets, regional manufacturing platforms or specific capabilities.
But these opportunities are not automatic.
They require targeted policies, stronger institutions and realistic strategies.
This is where On Tab's work is important, helping countries identifying feasible entry points improve investment policy frameworks, develop bankable pipelines, reduce risks and present concrete opportunities to investors.
Third, governments are becoming more selective about the investment they want.
Governments are using a wider range of tools, from incentives to public procurement to attracting investment into priority sectors, an investment screening and security related measures to manage sensitive transactions.
This is also visible in national investment policy making.
In 2025, governments adopted 229 investment policy measures, the highest number recorded by OWN Ted.
Most remain favourable to investors, but policy interventions became increasingly selective and strategic incentives accounted for half of all favourable measures, with growing use of targeted support for energy transition technologies, digital infrastructure, advanced manufacturing and critical measures.
At the same time, restrictive measures continue to expand, especially through investment screening, entering restrictions, and localization requirements.
International investment agreements are also evolving, with new agreements focusing on facilitation and cooperation.
But old generation agreements can also create tension with today's industrial policy, security and development objectives.
This point to a broader shift.
Governments still want investment, but increasingly they want investment on more specific terms in priority sectors with stronger links to domestic value creation, resilience and security.
4th, the traditional manufacturing pathway to development is becoming less automatic.
For decades, manufacturing has been one of the main pathways to development.
Investment in manufacturing has helped countries create jobs, build capabilities and link up to global value chain.
But these pathways changing outside strategic sectors.
Greenfield investment in manufacturing has declined over the last decade.
This slowdown is particularly affecting developing countries and LDC's.
Supply chains are not simply moving closer to home.
The report does not show a broad shift towards regionalization or near shore.
Instead, companies are reorganising production networks around a wider set of factors, including resilience, market access, policy conditions and exposure to trade measures.
For business and investors, this means that the investment map is also changing.
Opportunities are opening up in new locations and in enabling sectors, energy, logistics, digital connectivity, supplier development, and regional production platforms.
First movers can help shape these ecosystems while strengthening their own resilience and access to growing markets.
For developing economies, the question is not only how to attract more investment, but how to attract investment that builds capabilities, supports upgrading, and contributes to sustainable development.
Taken together, these developments represent a fundamental shift in the global investment landscape.
Developing countries do not need to compete in every strategic sector and cannot match the largest economies subsidy for subsidy.
They need realistic entry points.
That means identifying where they can compete and build the conditions that make investment viable.
Reliable infrastructure, energy, digital connectivity, skills, supplier capabilities, transparent regulation and effective institutions.
It also means using incentives carefully.
Public support can be targeted, transparent, performance based and linked to clear development outcomes.
[Other language spoken]
Many countries are too small to attract large scale investment on their own regional markets.
Shared infrastructure, harmonise rules and cross-border value chains can help create a scale and predictability that investors require.
Finally, international cooperation is more needed than ever.
In a more turbulent and competitive world, countries will continue to pursue industrial policies and economic security objectives.
[Other language spoken]
The priorities are clear.
Greater transparency are measures that affect investment dialogue on industrial policy, subsidies, screening and security related measures, and practical cooperation on investment facilitation and responsible investment.
Reform of the international investment agreements also need to accelerate so that agreements reflect today's policy realities while preserving legal certainty for investors and adequate policy space for governments.
The objective is to keep international investment environment predictable, transparent and development oriented even in the more contested global economy.
Let me conclude with the main message.
Investment is recovering, but the future investment landscape is becoming more selective, more strictly strategic and more concentrated.
This creates opportunities for development countries, but also real risks of exclusion from the sectors that will shape future productive capacity.
The policy task is therefore not passive investment traction.
It is strategic investment positioning, identifying realistic entry points, build domestic capabilities and ensuring that foreign investment supports inclusive and sustainable development.
On Ted.
We'll continue to support countries in this effort through evidence, policy advice, investment policy reviews, facilitation de risking support, bankable project development, and platforms that connect development priorities with real investment opportunities.
[Other language spoken]
Thank you very much.
Thank you very much for the detailed overview.
Thank you very much as Acting Secretary General for the for the introduction.
We can now open the floor for questions.
Those in the room have the first go.
We have also several participants online.
You know the drill.
The name, your name and the outlet that you represent and to whom you direct your question.
[Other language spoken]
Nobody wants to break the ice.
I have one hand here, and this is online.
[Other language spoken]
If we don't have anybody from the room yet, then it's the first one I see as a blessed Ogario from.
[Other language spoken]
You lowered your hand.
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
There she is.
Blessed Ogario from Business Mirror.
[Other language spoken]
The floor is yours.
Good day everyone.
I'm blessed O'erio from Business Mirror, a business newspaper based in the Philippines.
My first question is, the report shows that more than 80% of global FDI in is concentrated in the top 20 recipient economies.
I would just like to ask what should countries like the Philippines do to attract a larger share of global investment?
[Other language spoken]
Thank you for the question in our report, which shows that the growth in Asia, developing countries are actually quite good, right.
ASEAN, for example, has continuously been growing and this year it picked up about 10% growth.
So regional integration is working there and the key countries in ASEAN Economic Community is growing very fast.
So for specific countries, we do offer very tailored tools to look at the investment policies, strategic competition and also where to focus in the sector priority choices.
So I think for more detailed advice, please get in touch with our team.
We can look into the specific opportunities in both the strategic sectors that we're talking about.
Then also how we how Philippines can continue to leverage its position in ASEAN.
[Other language spoken]
Thank you very much.
I see your hand is still raised.
Do you have a quick follow up on this or can we go on?
Yes, I do have one last question now.
Now that the Philippines has reached upper middle income status by the World Bank, do you think this improves the country's attractiveness to investors or will reforms matter more than the classification itself?
[Other language spoken]
Thanks for the question.
Being a middle income country classification of course shows the progress of Philippines in its economic development and the stability of as a country as a destination for investors.
As next step, looking to attract more investment, as I have said earlier and as also we have been advising governments in the region is to really strengthen all the good work you have been doing, the investment facilitation measures, the digital connectivity and really improve the regulatory environment and then build the strategic capabilities in the sectors where the country is prioritising.
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
Thank you very much.
The next question comes from, I think it's Liz Eko.
Please reach out.
The floor is yours.
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
Thank you very much for the for the press conference.
In your presentation, you said that in the strategic sectors, the top three recipient countries account for 70% of the Greenfield project.
Can you tell me what are the countries, the three countries, please?
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
The reason we did not list all the three countries per SE is that we did a kind of analysis into the top three countries in these five strategic sectors.
Not they are not exactly the same, but the concentration effect is alarming, right?
For example, in critical mineral China and also China is, was is a top investor.
But in the AI sector, US is the largest investor.
So we need to really look into each sector to see exactly who are the top three.
But these top three are mostly large economies.
[Other language spoken]
Thank you very much.
If any follow up, Richard, don't hesitate to raise your hand again.
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
Hi, I'm Okeni, I'm the editor of Investment Monitor.
You mentioned that outside of strategic sectors, Greenfield investments are generally in decline around the world.
Can you talk a little bit about what sort of industries and sectors are being affected by by this decline and what what that how those regions are or kind of restructuring their their investment attraction efforts?
[Other language spoken]
I will have my colleague asked you to also talk about the key sector numbers before we talk about more policies at regional level, maybe Australia you can talk about some sector trends and numbers.
Yeah, thank you very much.
So in addition to the to the industries that are related to the digital and we we mentioned digital, we mentioned the data centres, we mentioned the semiconductors and oil and gas.
You have industries which are we suffer basically in terms of Greenfield projects.
And here are the renewable energies, they are the one that basically declined for the 4th consecutive year.
We have a decline in the sectors which are GVC intensive industries and most GBC manufacturing industries saw a decline in in their value.
This is related as well with topic that we discussed the the major topic of the of the report the other industries is the other sectors in infrastructure.
So infrastructure, except data centres, they also suffered their, their they saw their value decline as well.
So this is basically the industries that they declined compared to in contrast with data centres and digital and semiconductors that saw an increase.
So please Nan for the policies.
Thank you, thank you, thank you very much.
I don't see any other hands in the air from those connected online.
There is one message in the chat.
No, there was just a thank you for giving the floor anybody in the room?
Yes, I see somebody in the back floors.
[Other language spoken]
No, I don't think so based on the question.
So anything concluding to to add from from your side?
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
I'm sorry.
[Other language spoken]
The floor is yours.
Please state your name and the the outlet you represent.
[Other language spoken]
Thank you for the press briefing.
I'm Chen Zhao from China's Xinhua News Agency.
My question is, could you elaborate more about the risks brought by this trend where the investment policy is becoming more selective and strategic?
[Other language spoken]
Thank you for the question.
I think there are some questions about strategic selective policy making as well in terms of national security and industrial policies.
And I will ask my colleague Massimo to give some answers.
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
So yes, this year as was mentioned by by our ASG and the Director, we do see a much more selective approach to policy making across the world.
And this means not only on in terms of the promotional aspects, so incentives that are becoming more targeted to specific objectives.
We've seen for the first time the impact probably of the global efforts, international efforts for tax reform.
And all of a sudden several countries have started doing without the broad tax holidays in favour of much more targeted approach.
So this is very positive, right?
This is something that Ankara has been calling for a while.
We need incentives to be much more performance based related to specific development objectives.
We see the selectivity, however, also in terms of the policies to on FDI entry.
So we see the the the expansion of countries with the screening regimes for national security.
We see an expansion of the measures restricting investment in certain sectors and activities and of course national security.
The concept itself of national security is expanding and these covers a wide range of legitimate policy objectives.
At the same time the risk is to balance the selectivity with the transparency that is required for the investment environment to be to remain open and non discriminatory.
And let me maybe just add one point for the question earlier on investment promotion, right?
What's the focus and strategy going forward from we have a finding this report where we surveyed a lot of investment promotion agencies in our network, right?
So more than 100 replied and the top concern, top risk factors is the geopolitical tensions or conflicts, right.
76% of them responded that this concerns the most and then global economic slowdown, trade policy uncertainty, change of industrial policies and subsidies follow.
So I think this overall macro environment is changing.
The global investment landscape is changing.
Hence the requirements for investment promotion is also more demanding.
So that requires investment promotion agencies to look into the global mega trends or looking at the specific positioning of their country in this global competition and looking to your own national competitive strategy and build your own productive sectors.
So and also strengthen the risk intelligence, right.
With all these risks going on, we need to really strengthen the risk intelligence and act more adaptively to the new changing reality.
[Other language spoken]
[Other language spoken]
Thank you very much for this.
Sorry again for the oversight before to our Xinhua News agency.
No more questions from those connected online.
No, definitely no more in the room.
So let me just then thank everybody for their interests.
Encourage everybody to follow up.
You can reach our colleagues through the news and and press links on on Ungtat and we will channel those requests.
And just to close with the four main points.
Foreign direct investment is recovering, but it's development impact is not automatic.
Investment is becoming more strategic, more selective and more concentrated.
Developing countries need realistic entry points and the conditions to turn investment into productive capacity, jobs, skills and value creation.
And international corporation is essential to keep investment predictable, transparent and development oriented.
Very interesting findings that none that you mentioned.
[Other language spoken]
That is the core message of our report.
What matters is not only where investment flows, but really what it builds and who benefits.
Thank you very much.
[Other language spoken]